Republican 2024 U.S. senate prospects, already
looking bright, just got brighter with the unexpected
announcement that former Maryland Governor Larry
Hogan is running for the state’s open seat in November,
Even though long-time incumbent Senator Ben Cardin,
a Democrat, had decided to retire, the seat was rated
“Safe Democrat” because this was such a liberal “blue”
Bur Hogan is one of several Eastern moderate
Republican political figures who win elections in the
liberal northeast, and enjoiy wdespread popularity.
Vermont Governor Phil Scottl New Hampshire
Governor Chris Sununu, and Maine Senator Susan
Collins are other examples of Republicans whose
blending of tolerant social policies with conservative
economic policies make them successful with East
In the Midwest, there are Democrats who win race
conservative states, including Montana Senator Jon
Testor, Ohio Senator Sherrod Brown and Kentucky
Governor Andy Beshear, but this cycle both Testor
and Brown are facing serious GOP challengers.
There is a catch to the new development that
appears to be a benefit to GOP senate prospects.
Hogan expands a Republican majority, but like
Collins and Alaska Senatior Lisa Murkowski,
another moderate, he won’t be relied on to vote for
many conservative social issues. Hard-line GOP
voters on the right often denounce moderates as
RINOs and sell-outs.
While the voter base of the Democrats is veering
left, and the GOP base is veering right, both parties
face the complications of senate members who
are center-left and center-right. With party strength
almost tiied in recent years, the Senate has not
always functioned as party leader have wished
in recent years, so the GOP will need to pick up
more than 2-3 Senate seats in 2024 if they want
to have truly effective control.
Copyright (c) 2024 by Barry Casselman. All rights resered.