Friday, October 15, 2021

THE PRAIRIE EDITOR: "Pandemigration" And Other Issues In 2022

Democratic political demoralization in advance of the 2022

national midterm elections continues with the retirement

announcement of U.S. House Budget Chairman John Yarmuth

of Kentucky, This follows retirements of other senior U.S.

house Democrats in Texas, Wisconsin, Illinois and Arizona 

who might have been defeated in a potential “red wave” 

election next year.

Three senior Republicans have also announced their 

retirements, but they represent safe GOP districts.

In 2017-18, this phenomenon was reversed as many 

endangered senior Republicans retired in advance of the

“blue wave” 2018 national mid-term elections which gave

Democrats control of the U.S. house.

The political pessimism of the Democrats is apparently

being fueled by voter response to President Joe Biden and

many of the unpopular policies and proposals of his

administration. The disastrous way the U.S. withdrew from

Afghanistan and the ongoing Mexican border crisis have

evidently fueled the president’s precipitous personal drop

in the polls, but inflation worries and (according to polls)

unpopular proposals (such as defunding the police and

packing the U.S. supreme court) are reinforcing a mood of

vulnerability among many incumbent Democrats.

The border crisis, particularly, is creating prospects of

increasing negative reactions from voters in coming 

months as tens of thousands of would-be undocumented

immigrants are reportedly making their way in caravans

to the Mexican-U.S. border where already record numbers

of emigrants have massed in trying to enter the U.S. This

“pandemigration” has been encouraged by some voices

on the U.S. political left, following a controversial 

pandemigration in western Europe, (and its rejection in

parts of eastern Europe).

Less immediate,, but looming in coming months, is a 

serious supply chain crisis — brought on, critics say, by

Biden administration economic policies.

The Democratic political demoralization is beginning to

spill over into the key battle for control of the U.S. senate

in 2022 —- where Democrats are seeing their initial

advantage to attain a majority fade as independent and

suburban voters, according to recent polls, increasingly

are seemingly turning to GOP candidates.

Not all the news is bad for the Democrats. The post-

pandemic economy is slowly recovering, the stock market

remains high, interest rates remain low, and the natural

optimism of most Americans still prevails. The election is

still slightly more than a year away. The  Afghan debacle

will fade in voter memory.

But new and ongoing crises, especially economic ones,

are provoking veteran elected officials now to evaluate

their re-election prospects — and so far, the decisions 

have been ominous, particularly in U.S. house races, for

the  Democrats.


Copyright (c) 2021 by Barry Casselman. All rights reserved.

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