As I have been suggesting for several weeks he would,
Minnesota Governor Tim Walz has now withdrawn
from his declared candidacy for a third term in this
year’s mid-term elections.
But this is not the end of this political story.
The allegations and unfolding evidence of massive
fraud in Minnesota is a story only beginning to be
told. It was this, and charges that Walz and his DFL
administration failed to investigate this fraud for so
long that precipitated his withdrawal, but the ongoing
and expanding story will now cast dark shadows over
the entire campaign of the Democratic-Farmer-Labor
Party’s efforts to keep the statewide, congressional
and U.S. senate offices it now holds.
It also presents a political roadblock to the DFL’s
desire to win control of the state legislature.
The question is whether the state Republican Party
can nominate the caliber of candidates who can
win in this political environment.
The immediate question is now who will be the DFL
candidate for governor. The most mentioned name
in the wake of Walz’s withdrawal is current U.S.
Senator Amy Klobuchar. She is a popular and
well-known figure in the state, and probably would
be the most formidable DFL candidate. She has
made a role for herself in the Senate, and once ran
for president. If she still has White House ambitions,
she might feel she would be a stronger candidate
in 2028 or 2032 as a sitting governor.
At the same time, she would face the risk of losing
in what might become a GOP wave election in 2026
because of extreme voter anger over fraud. In her
last re-election, Klobuchar won by a smaller margin
than expected against a weak GOP opponent.
Other DFL candidates, especially those who now
hold statewide office, including Lt. Governor Peggy
Flanagan, Secretary of State Steve Simon and
Attorney General Keith Elliison, might find that
voters might direct their anger at them.
Flanagan is currently running for the open U.S.
Senate seat, vacated by incumbent Tina Smith,
but with Walz out of the governor’s race, she might
switch. Ellison is currently running for re-election
as attorney general, but faces some of the same
criticism as Walz did. Simon has faced criticism
for his role in pushing controversial voting issues
Republicans have several major candidates
running for governor, including Speaker of the
State House Lisa Demuth, State Rep. Kristin
Robbins and 2022 GOP nominee Dr. Scott
Jensen. Each of them would have likely defeated
Walz, but can any of them defeat Klobuchar?
The Republican slate for the open U.S. Senate
seat, and the other statewide offices so far mostly
lacks major candidates. Further, the state GOP
so far lacks the fundraising, voter ID and GOTV
capability that the DFL has had for many years.
The DFL nominee for the U.S. Senate could be
retiring 2nd District Congresswoman Angie
Craig who is untainted by the fraud scandal
and is known to be an effective campaigner.
As already noted, the GOP does not yer have a
serious candidate in this race,
Tim Walz is still governor, and there have been
many calls for him to resign. The full dimension
of fraud is yet unknown, but is now, and almost
certainly will remain, as the major issue of this
year’s political campaign in Minnesota.
The national and international media coverage of
the fraud scandals has been devastating to the
state’s self image, and voter anger is clearly
rising, but the impact of the issue on who wins and
loses in November remains the biggest political
question of all.
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Copyright (c) 2026 by Barry Casselman. All rights reserved.